23 Jul · 12:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1475
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kanak
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1503
FormWLWWL
48%
52%
🌟Kantor covers set handicap as underdog 70% (27)
Fair odds · Kanak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.