23 Jul · 13:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1529
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sykora
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1449
FormWWLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Sykora
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H46-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (46-28)