23 Jul · 09:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1498
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sedlacek
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1475
FormLWLWW
52%
48%
🌟Kantor covers set handicap as underdog 70% (27)
Fair odds · Sedlacek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.