23 Jul · 11:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TL
🇨🇿Tomas Lysek
ELO 1580
FormWLLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Lysek
MJ
🇨🇿Michal Janik
ELO 1415
FormLLLWL
63%
37%
🌟Lysek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 15% (13)
Fair odds · Lysek
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+165
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+165)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)