23 Jul · 08:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DH
🇨🇿Daniel Hyza
ELO 1585
FormWLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Prochazka
MP
🇨🇿Michal Prochazka
ELO 1633
FormWWWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Prochazka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H5-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.