23 Jul · 14:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RP
🇨🇿Radim Pokorny
ELO 1499
FormLWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Lovl
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1538
FormWWLWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Lovl
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 40% · 2.52· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H7-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.