23 Jul · 12:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1568
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Benes
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1547
FormLWLLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krupnik🌟Benes rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (64)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H36-34
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.