23 Jul · 15:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1449
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Jr
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1522
FormWLWLL
44%
56%
🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (48)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H24-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-8)