23 Jul · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1630
FormWWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Stapor
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1559
FormWLWLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H68-48
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (68-48)