23 Jul · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1556
FormWLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Stapor
DS
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1637
FormWWWLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 46% · 2.19· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H25-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-22)