23 Jul · 16:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TB
🇨🇿Tomas Bartik
ELO 1691
FormWWWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Bartik
MM
🇨🇿Martin Mastera
ELO 1571
FormWLWLW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Bartik
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+120
H2H12-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)