23 Jul · 21:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1541
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Jr
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Matus
ELO 1474
FormLLWLL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Matus
Fair odds · Jr
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H7-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)