23 Jul · 17:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇨🇿Martin Mastera
ELO 1571
FormWLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Lengal
DL
🇨🇿Dominik Lengal
ELO 1647
FormLLWLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Lengal
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H19-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-6)