23 Jul · 18:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
T2
🇨🇿Tomas Beran 2000
ELO 1580
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.962000
MM
🇨🇿Martin Mastera
ELO 1571
FormWLWLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · 2000
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H10-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.