23 Jul · 19:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1541
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Jr
JD
🇨🇿Jiri Dokoupil
ELO 1466
FormLLWWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)