23 Jul · 21:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JV
🇨🇿Jiri Vanous
ELO 1425
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Reska
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1510
FormWWLWL
43%
57%
🌟Reska rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (18)
Fair odds · Reska
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H17-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-9)