23 Jul · 16:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1674
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Moravec
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1618
FormWLWWL
55%
45%
🌟Kleprlik covers set handicap as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H28-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-25)