23 Jul · 16:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1510
FormWWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Drozd
AD
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1511
FormWWLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Drozd
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.