23 Jul · 22:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1384
FormLLLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Flesar
MF
🇨🇿Milan Flesar
ELO 1535
FormWWWLW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Flesar
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+151
H2H26-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+151)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-8)