23 Jul · 20:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JV
🇨🇿Jiri Vanous
ELO 1425
FormWLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lasota
LL
🇨🇿Laurent Lasota
ELO 1486
FormLLWLW
45%
55%
🌟Lasota goes over total as favourite 67% (12)
Fair odds · Lasota
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)