23 Jul · 21:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MD
🇨🇿Miloslav Dvorak
ELO 1427
FormWWLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Flesar
MF
🇨🇿Milan Flesar
ELO 1535
FormWWWLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Flesar
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)