23 Jul · 22:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1462
FormLLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Dokoupil
JD
🇨🇿Jiri Dokoupil
ELO 1466
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
🌟Jancak covers set handicap as underdog 69% (32)
Fair odds · Dokoupil
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+4
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.