23 Jul · 16:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lisztwan
ELO 1572
FormLWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kleprlik
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1618
FormWLWWL
46%
54%
🌟Kleprlik goes over total as favourite 71% (17)
Fair odds · Kleprlik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.