23 Jul · 21:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇨🇿Martin Lorenc
ELO 1399
FormWLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Reska
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1510
FormWWLWL
41%
59%
🌟Reska rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (18)
Fair odds · Reska
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)