23 Jul · 17:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇨🇿Michal Mikolasik
ELO 1522
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Lisztwan
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lisztwan
ELO 1572
FormLWWWL
46%
54%
🌟Lisztwan rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (16)
Fair odds · Lisztwan
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.