23 Jul · 18:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1588
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Brozek
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1571
FormWWLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Brozek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H90-82
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.