23 Jul · 18:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇨🇿Michal Prochazka
ELO 1647
FormWLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Prochazka
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1571
FormWWLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Prochazka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)