23 Jul · 22:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JZ
🇨🇿Jaromir Zlamal
ELO 1700
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Zlamal
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stusek
ELO 1651
FormLLWLW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stusek🌟Stusek covers set handicap as underdog 67% (79)
Fair odds · Zlamal
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H90-46
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.