23 Jul · 19:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1725
FormWLWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Bochnak
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1588
FormLLLWL
61%
39%
🔥 Underdog lean · Brozek
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+137
H2H4-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+137)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)