23 Jul · 23:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1656
FormWLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Zlamal
JZ
🇨🇿Jaromir Zlamal
ELO 1700
FormWWWWW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vorisek
Fair odds · Zlamal
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H136-62
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.