23 Jul · 20:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇨🇿Petr Silhan
ELO 1622
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Zlamal
JZ
🇨🇿Jaromir Zlamal
ELO 1700
FormWWWWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Silhan🌟Silhan covers set handicap as underdog 63% (35)
Fair odds · Zlamal
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H38-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-27)