23 Jul · 21:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Cerveny Jr
ELO 1461
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jr
ZV
🇨🇿Zbynek Vyskocil
ELO 1451
FormWLWLL
51%
49%
🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (48)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H22-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.