23 Jul · 17:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MD
🇨🇿Milan Dvorak
ELO 1436
FormLLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Tichy
DT
🇨🇿Dominik Tichy
ELO 1561
FormLLLWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Tichy
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+125
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)