23 Jul · 22:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇨🇿Petr Silhan
ELO 1622
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Stusek
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stusek
ELO 1651
FormLLWLW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Silhan🌟Silhan covers set handicap as underdog 63% (35)
Fair odds · Stusek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H61-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.