23 Jul · 22:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Cerveny Jr
ELO 1461
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Barsa
TB
🇨🇿Tomas Barsa
ELO 1524
FormWWWWL
45%
55%
🌟Barsa rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (39)
Fair odds · Barsa
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)