23 Jul · 18:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DT
🇨🇿Dominik Tichy
ELO 1561
FormLLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Tichy
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hrncir
ELO 1523
FormWWLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Tichy
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.