23 Jul · 17:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇨🇿Michal Prochazka
ELO 1644
FormLWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Bochnak
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1725
FormWLWWW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Prochazka🌟Prochazka covers set handicap as underdog 93% (15)
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)