24 Jul · 11:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1527
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sindler
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1491
FormWWWWL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jancak🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 22% (36)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H12-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.