24 Jul · 12:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1612
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Brozek
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1548
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Brozek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H106-116
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)