24 Jul · 09:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1537
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Pawlik
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1602
FormLWWLW
45%
55%
🌟Pawlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (17)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H4-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)