24 Jul · 14:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JJ
🇨🇿Jakub Joksch
ELO 1505
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Babinek
JB
🇨🇿Jiri Babinek
ELO 1566
FormWWWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Babinek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)