24 Jul · 10:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zajac
ELO 1480
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zajac
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Snr
ELO 1450
FormWWWWL
52%
48%
🌟Snr covers set handicap as underdog 92% (13)
Fair odds · Zajac
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.