24 Jul · 08:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1537
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Przybyla
JP
🇨🇿Jan Przybyla
ELO 1539
FormWWLWW
50%
50%
🌟Przybyla stays under total as favourite 71% (17)
Fair odds · Przybyla
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.