24 Jul · 08:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1602
FormLWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Pawlik
JP
🇨🇿Jan Przybyla
ELO 1539
FormWWLWW
55%
45%
🌟Pawlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (17)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)