24 Jul · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1548
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Varecka
OV
🇨🇿Ondrej Varecka
ELO 1633
FormWLWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Varecka
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)