24 Jul · 08:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jan Sevecek
ELO 1491
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sevecek
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zajac
ELO 1480
FormLWWLW
51%
49%
🌟Sevecek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (15)
Fair odds · Sevecek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.