24 Jul · 12:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1440
FormLWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Cibik
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1519
FormLLLWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rolik🌟Rolik covers set handicap as underdog 68% (96)
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H10-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-6)