24 Jul · 12:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kus
ELO 1517
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Dzida
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1547
FormWWLWW
48%
52%
🌟Kus stays under total as underdog 72% (18)
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H5-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.