24 Jul · 14:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1547
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Dzida
MS
🇨🇿Matej Srubar
ELO 1486
FormLWLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)