24 Jul · 07:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1537
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Macurak
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1467
FormWLWWW
56%
44%
🌟Volny covers set handicap as underdog 76% (17)
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)